{"id":6465,"date":"2016-02-08T10:12:50","date_gmt":"2016-02-08T09:12:50","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.hrankovic.eu\/portal\/?p=6465"},"modified":"2016-02-12T22:06:53","modified_gmt":"2016-02-12T21:06:53","slug":"kako-rusija-gomila-pritisak-na-tursku","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.hrankovic.eu\/portal\/kako-rusija-gomila-pritisak-na-tursku\/","title":{"rendered":"Kako Rusija gomila pritisak na Tursku"},"content":{"rendered":"

Moskva je poslala svoje najmodernije borbene avione u Siriju u vrijeme kada su maksimalno napeti odnosi nje i Ankare.<\/h4>\n

Pi\u0161e: Justin Bronk<\/strong><\/p>\n

Tokom vikenda \u010detiri najnovija i najsofisticiranija ruska vojna aviona Su-35 Flanker E stigla su u rusku zra\u010dnu bazu u sirijskoj Lakatiji. Ovo se de\u0161ava nakon jo\u0161 jednog navodnog kr\u0161enja turskog zra\u010dnog prostora, u petak su to uradili borci-bombarderi Su-34 Fullback.<\/p>\n

Odnosi Ankare i Moskve ostaju ekstremno napeti od kako su turske snage oborile ruski mlaznjak Su-24, nakon \u0161to je navodno upao u turski zra\u010dni prostora za manje od 20 sekundi u novembru.<\/p>\n

Iako je Turska, u sklopu svojih zakonitih prava, u mogu\u0107nosti oboriti strani vojni avion koji kr\u0161i njen suverenitet zra\u010dnog prostora i odbija poslu\u0161ati upozorenja, Ankara je namjerno odabrala veoma agresivan stav nakon u\u010destalih ruskih kr\u0161enja njenog zra\u010dnog prostora i oborila letjelicu.<\/p>\n

\u010cini se da je ovo, zauzvrat, izazvalo dvojni odgovor ruskog predsjednika Vladimira Putina.<\/p>\n

Pred svojom doma\u0107om publikom, jo\u0161 uvijek najva\u017enijim faktorom za ruskog lidera, Putin je razmjestio napredni sistem zra\u010dne odbrane S-400 i naredio da mla\u017enjaci u\u010destvuju u operacijama nedaleko od turske granice u Siriji, a avioni su opremljeni “\u017eivim” zrak-zrak projektilima za samoodbranu.<\/p>\n

‘Turska agresija’<\/strong><\/p>\n

Interno se takvi potezi prave kako bi se pokazala odbrambena strana kao strane kojoj je nanesena \u0161teta uo\u010di turske “agresije”. Me\u0111utim, na me\u0111unarodnoj sceni Putin je odlu\u010dan povratiti inicijativu od Turske.<\/p>\n

Kratki upadi u zra\u010dni prostor NATO-a, naro\u010dito iznad balti\u010dkih dr\u017eava i Turske, postali su uobi\u010dajena ruska taktika vr\u0161enja pritiska u proteklim godinama. Uvijek se kocka na to da NATO \u010dlanice ne\u0107e riskirati opasne eskalacije stanja kori\u0161tenjem svojih prava da pucaju uslijed takvih upada.<\/p>\n

Pro\u0161log novembra, me\u0111utim, Turska je reagirala na ruski blef, pa je tako Ankara preuzela inicijativu od Rusije kada je rije\u010d o zra\u010dnom prostoru.<\/p>\n

Koliko god ruski mediji spinovali stvari za interne potrebe, Kremlj jasno razumije \u0161ta se desilo i da sada Rusija mora reagirati na vanjsku eskalaciju – umjesto da je suprotno.<\/p>\n

Stoga upadanje u zra\u010dni prostor Su-34 u petak, daleko boljeg i ja\u010deg aviona od onog koji je Turska oborila, te razmje\u0161taj \u010detiri Su-35 koji je uslijedio, \u010dine agresivnu poruku Turskoj i NATO-u da se Rusija vra\u0107a u ofanzivu.<\/p>\n

Namjerna poruka<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u010cetiri Su-35 dodat \u0107e skoro ni\u0161ta ruskim zra\u010dnim udarima u Siriji, koji nastavljaju poga\u0111ati uglavnom teritoriju pod kontrolom umjerenih pobunjenika, uprkos tvrdnjama da su cilj polo\u017eaji oru\u017eane grupe Islamska dr\u017eava Irak i Levant.<\/p>\n

Me\u0111utim, rije\u010d o impresivnim ma\u0161inama za nadmo\u0107 u zraku, koje mogu zna\u010dajno biti ispred turskih F-16\/D u eventualnom iznenadnom sukobu na granici.<\/p>\n

Nastavkom kr\u0161enja turskog zra\u010dnog prostora, Rusija \u0161alje namjernu poruku da ne\u0107e biti zastra\u0161ena i da \u0107e zadr\u017eati kontrolu nad razvojem stvari u Siriji i \u0161ire.<\/p>\n

I slanjem najsmrtonosnijeg aviona u Siriji istovremeno, Moskva ja\u010da navedenu poruku implikacijom da, ako se Turska usudi pucati na novi upad, avion o kojem se govori \u0107e vjerovatno odgovoriti i dobit \u0107e poja\u010danja koja su daleko ja\u010da od onih koje imaju turske snage.<\/p>\n

No, razmje\u0161taj aviona Su-35 mo\u017ee dodatno oja\u010dati sumnje koje su nastale dolaskom S-400 u Latakiju.<\/p>\n

Kada su u potpunosti operativne, napredne rakete dalekog dometa S-400 mogu dr\u017eati pod kontrolom veliki dio turskog zra\u010dnog prostora i, kako se samo name\u0107e, tako sprije\u010diti dalja obaranja upada\u010da od strane turskih mla\u017enjaka na granici zbog straha od istovremene odmazde.<\/p>\n

Ipak, postoje \u0161pekulacije da su u Siriji prisutne tek komponente dijela S-400 baterije u Siriji, vjerovatno zbog dogovora s Izraelom da se na to podru\u010dje ne razmje\u0161taju sistemi projektila dugog dometa.<\/p>\n

Idealan alat zastra\u0161ivanja<\/strong><\/p>\n

To bi moglo objasniti za\u0161to Rusija osje\u0107a neophodnost razmje\u0161taja Su-35 na isto podru\u010dje.<\/p>\n

Dok ruska doma\u0107a publika mo\u017ee biti zadovoljna odgovorom koji S-400 \u0161alje na obaranje aviona, NATO, sa svojim razvijenim sposobnostima nadzora i otkrivanja u ovom podru\u010dju, mo\u017ee biti svjestan da prisutni sistem zra\u010dne odbrane nije ono za \u0161ta se predstavlja – i stoga biti manje zastra\u017een nego koliko bi to Rusija voljela biti.<\/p>\n

Sjevernoatlantska alijansa, s druge strane, smatra Su-35 velikom prijetnjom NATO zra\u010dnim snagama, uklju\u010duju\u0107i i ameri\u010dke. Ova letjelica se smatra dobrim takmacem ve\u0107ini modernih evropskih borbenih mla\u017enjaka – Typhoonu i Rafaleu, koji u\u010destvuju u operacijama u regiji – i jedino je nadma\u0161ena stra\u0161nim ameri\u010dkim F-22 Raptorom, nevidljivim mla\u017enjakom.<\/p>\n

Sve kada se sabere, rije\u010d je o idealnom alatu za zastra\u0161ivanje Turske i NATO-a.<\/p>\n

Smatra se da Rusija ima maksimalno 40 primjeraka aviona Su-35 na raspolaganju, pa se razmje\u0161tanje \u010detiri ova aviona, s posadama, u Siriju smatra zna\u010dajnim oduzimanjem sredstava ruskoj vojsci, koja se bori za modernizaciju u vrijeme ekonomske recesije i veoma niskih cijena nafte.<\/p>\n

To dalje ilustrira kako je konfrontacija s Turskom postala centralni dio Putinove kampanje primoravanja Zapada da ponovo prizna Rusiju kao jednu od vode\u0107ih svjetskih sila.<\/p>\n

(Justin Bronk je nau\u010dni saradnik na vojnim naukama Instituta Royal United Services.)<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Izvor: Al Jazeera<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Moskva je poslala svoje najmodernije borbene avione u Siriju u vrijeme kada su maksimalno napeti odnosi nje i Ankare. Pi\u0161e: Justin Bronk Tokom vikenda \u010detiri najnovija i najsofisticiranija ruska vojna aviona Su-35 Flanker E stigla su u rusku zra\u010dnu bazu u sirijskoj Lakatiji. Ovo se de\u0161ava nakon jo\u0161 jednog navodnog kr\u0161enja turskog zra\u010dnog prostora, u …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":6466,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_crdt_document":"","_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[104],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6465","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","","category-kolumne"],"yoast_head":"\nKako Rusija gomila pritisak na Tursku – HRANKOVI\u0106 ONLINE<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.hrankovic.eu\/portal\/kako-rusija-gomila-pritisak-na-tursku\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"bs_BA\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Kako Rusija gomila pritisak na Tursku – HRANKOVI\u0106 ONLINE\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Moskva je poslala svoje najmodernije borbene avione u Siriju u vrijeme kada su maksimalno napeti odnosi nje i Ankare. Pi\u0161e: Justin Bronk Tokom vikenda \u010detiri najnovija i najsofisticiranija ruska vojna aviona Su-35 Flanker E stigla su u rusku zra\u010dnu bazu u sirijskoj Lakatiji. 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